Boxing betting back james degale to outpoint the limited badou jack← Homepage
James 'Chunky' DeGale makes the third defence of his IBF super-middleweight world title on Saturday evening, and has the added-incentive of adding opponent Badou Jack's WBC strap to his clutch of honours.
It'll be another road-trip for globe-trotting champ DeGale, who looks happy enough to box away from home. Maybe it's because the money is better, perhaps his handlers know he couldn't sell out a venue in the UK without a seriously impressive undercard, or it could be true that he just likes to rack up the air miles. Whatever the reason, this will be Chunky's third trip to America in four fights, with the spare going in Canada.
The 30-year-old Londoner has certainly stuck a pin in the belief that fighters struggle to get a points decision in their opponent's backyard, as the Olympic gold medallist picked up the vacant IBF strap courtesy of a points decision over Andre Dirrell, defended it vs Lucian Bute in Canada in the judges' opinion and did the same in Washington when last out against Regelio Medina in April 2016.
Another 12-round win is favourite in the method of victory market, with [1.57] available on the exchange. The KO/TKO shouldn't gain much favour with punters, even at a heavyweight 4/1. That's one for lovers of a bigger-price, but it's that way for good reason - Chunky hasn't stopped anyone for over two years.
James DeGale to win, regardless of the method in which he achieves it, has been deemed to be the most-likely outcome of this fight, with sportsbook punters getting 4/11.
Opponent Badou Jack will duck between the ropes as WBC ruler, having won the honour from Anthony Dirrell courtesy of majority decision back in 2015. The Swedish-born 33-year-old has gone on to make two defences, beating George Groves on a split-decision and holding onto the bling when getting a majority draw with Lucian Bute last time.
That's far from impressive form and doesn't appear to hold any weight with punters either. Each of his last three have been decided by the tightest of margins, and casual fans may want to throw a couple of pound on the draw at 25/1, best price with Betfair, just to see what happens. I certainly wouldn't talk you out of it.
That draw vs Bute is a real red flag for me however, and although it's not the way it works in this game, DeGale beat Bute on his own patch at a canter and that suggests he should do the same on Saturday.
Jack, nicknamed The Ripper, did dump Groves on the seat of his pants in the first-round when the pair met in the summer of 2015. That knockdown eventually cost the Englishman that fight, or we could very well be talking about an all-British unification match here. That's the margin for error in this game - zero. I know that well enough.
Jack will be hoping to take some of that power into this one, and backers who make him capable of stopping DeGale can have 15/2 when shopping at Betfair. With a 52% knockout average from 23 starts, it's not the worst of alternative predictions.
Jack has found a way to win, and trades at 9/4 to do the same again, but little of this man impresses me and I would much rather have my money on DeGale adding to his titles, rather than losing one. Taking the away win on points seems to be the most sensible option here, and the form is there to support it.
Back James DeGale to win on points at [1.7]